URL: https://www.youtube.com/live/gGxVE8zUIRQ?si=46Qkakf2xqYjsVqo Watched Date: April 13, 2023

Outline

01:07 - Good morning, everyone!

02:47 - New Week Opening Gap Definition.

08:32 - Selling side vs. bullish side.

13:59 - What’s it going to take for the market to return to normalcy?

18:51 - What constitutes a inversion fair value?

22:36 - What’s going on with the Dollar?

27:20 - What’s happening with the fair value gap.

32:46 - How do you know when not to consider a fair value?

39:33 - The difference between low resistance liquidity run conditions vs. high resistance liquidity runs.

42:21 - What professional traders should focus on not the average retail trader.

47:00 - High Frequency Trading Algorithms.

53:19 - What are you looking for? -.

59:19 - What was the bias? What was I calling for?

01:01:56 - Where did the market transition from high resistance liquidity to low resistance liquidity?

01:06:43 - The importance of having a narrative.

01:14:46 - Consolidation in Dollar is much like what I teach them.

01:21:14 - Waiting for something to occur.

01:24:40 - What are you waiting for in the morning session?

01:31:04 - What is a fair value? -.

01:38:30 - How to predict the future is nonsense.

01:44:45 - Where do I buy? Where do I sell? When is the next big move happening? Those are questions you never found answers to.

01:48:12 - What’s a good way to really filter out this ideal? How can we really supercharge it and make it even better?

01:54:09 - Does the market accelerate down or does it accelerate up?

02:01:45 - Supercharge your trades with a weekly profile.

02:08:14 - How every trader that’s profitable feels -.

02:12:12 - How to use higher timeframe analysis to get bigger price runs.

02:16:19 - It’s not always going to be the strongest car.

02:23:12 - When you’re trading on paper, you don’t realize the effects of over leveraging.

02:28:53 - Don’t rush the process -.

So this was a Breaker this morning I was watching.

Just to see a run... the breaker being here... watching that Pre-8:30 PPI Number.

As a reminder, this little GRAY shaded area here... that is the technically present Current New Week Opening Gap.

But we had Holiday Volume and such last Friday, so I like to use a Close Proximity New Week Opening Gap.

ORG (RTH gap)

That Green Rectangle...

Is that Fair Value Gap? You got right there on your 5-minute chart is the 2:50 PM Monday.

So that is what you are seeing there. Why am I considering it?

Now, it is the start of the week. It was the Initial Fair Value Gap.

So much like I teach with the Fair Value Gap that is in the Opening Range—Opening Range being the first 30 minutes of trading from 9:30 to 10:00...

I like to look at that as... I know there is a lot of you that probably like to use that Volume Profile. And for the life of me, it is escaping me... the specific value you guys like to look at.

I don't subscribe to Volume Profile. I think it is just another excuse to get into a trade like anything else. And you can attribute my stuff the same way.

But the Initial Fair Value Gap that forms in the first 30 minutes... I like to treat that as a Very Influential Reference Point throughout the day.

And how we move away from it... Is it respected at all? Is it disrespected?

That helps me frame a lot of Narrative for the day.

V.I. sends it lower

If you look at what we have on a Daily Chart... this is something I've been watching and prompting my students to look at.

We would see likely this Sellside be reached into.

What is important is how we trade there once we get below it.

So we hammer through it and start to accelerate... and that's going to obviously give it Lift Potential. Not immediately... or because it's only done this... it just opened up the likelihood that ES could trade Higher.

Even though I gave you an analysis last night looking for a reason for that Weekly Imbalance on ES to draw price Lower.

It does not mean I am here today to Force that. That is not what we are trying to do here. I am not trying to convey that as a teacher or mentor.

But this Draw Lower on the Volume Imbalance in here...

I believe that the Sellside below here... that little bit of Imbalance might be enough to draw price Lower.

If... If... Dollar can mount some kind of Reversal after taking its Daily Sellside.

Now, all that falls apart and is Nullified if we accelerate on the Downside with the Dollar.

And that provides Lift for ES... or potential for us to go Higher.

Much more strength behind the NASDAQ.

So we can use that Sick Sister idea now.

Since we are seeing Leadership between ES and NASDAQ.

NASDAQ leading on the upside... we could see this as a Breaker.

I'd like to see it Run Up... come back down... and treat this Fair Value Gap as an Inversion.

👉

The problem is... this is referring to we were in a Fractal that is kind of Trapped between Bullish and Bearish.

While NASDAQ has been raging higher... the Dow said: "I'm not coming to the party today."

So it went lower. It has taken out Sellside at the same time NASDAQ went higher.

So right away, by looking at all three averages... are we looking at a Symmetrical Market?

If you have been keeping notes... a Symmetrical Market is when they are all in Agreement.

And the Dollar is supporting that same move.

Dollar is weaker? All averages should be going higher with the Forex pairs.

We are not seeing that with the Dow.

And there is Lethargic Price Action in ES.

Which can lead to the Sick Sister concept... which is where it catches up with the Leader.

I would Sit on my Hands and do nothing here until we got above this Fair Value Gap.

Why? Because it is already showing respect of it.

So I don't want to step in front of that and try to go Long.

Because why? The market is not Symmetrical.

We are not seeing all three averages moving together in tandem, where they all should be—all three—going up in agreement, confirming each Higher High.

In other words: If there is a Higher High in NASDAQ, there should be a Higher High posting in ES, and there should be a Higher High posting in Dow.

That is simple Dow Theory.

Blending Intermarket Relationships and Market Analysis is by taking the Risk On / Risk Off scenario by incorporating the Dollar Index.

And since the Dollar Index is Weaker, we would be expecting all three averages to move Higher. But we are not seeing that yet.

So therefore, we exercise Patience.

Where everybody else is in here clamoring to do something... I am Not.

I am sitting still. Waiting.

I am not fearful of missing anything. I don't care. If it takes off without me... I don't care.

I am sticking to a Pattern with Rules. These things tend to repeat once everything gets in alignment.

And if it is not going to be in alignment? That's fine.

I'll sit here and Jawbone about how it was good for me not to do so.

And you will get experience. Even if I bore you to death... you will get the Insight that you should lean on later on when you don't have access to me Live.

What is it going to take for the market to return to some Normalcy?

We have to wait for the market to get out of this Daily Rut.

The chart... the Daily Timeframe... that needs to loosen up.

We are stuck in that little bit of a Funk, if you will, on ES and NASDAQ and Dow.

So there is a lot of people out there saying: "You know what, this is the perfect market to throw a lot of money into it."

And a lot of risk right now... the Geopolitical Stuff.

If you haven't been paying attention, there is some tension on the other side of the world. And all kinds of Banking Shenanigans going on.

So there is a lot of concern about Assuming Risk.

And the level of money that is sitting Parked right now is Large.

And that needs to be Inspired... to be either Scared—so it looks to make a move... or Inspired to take on risk.

And we haven't seen that yet.

So we are Forced to look inside these smaller little timeframes... and Scalp.

That is what you are in. You are in an environment that is for Scalping predominantly.

And if that doesn't fit your Model or your Personality...

What you are supposed to do at that time is exercise Patience.

Do things outside of trading to take up your time. Study. Backtest. All that.

But Don't try to Push the Button.

Because you are going to try to do something that is outside of your unique model.

But the wonderful thing about teaching Intraday—or lower timeframes—is there is lots of examples for me to teach that stuff still works.

Also, it will help you Refine.

Even if you have a Swing Trader's Mindset or a Position Trader's Mindset... you can get into trades a lot more Precisely.

Limit the exposure to larger Stop Losses. Not that I am trying to promote the idea of "Ultra Small Stop Losses"... but obviously, you can see that there is a Benefit that comes along with trading these lower timeframes if you are in sync with the Higher Timeframe.

What we have here is we have a Swing Low in here.

And remember that Monday Fair Value Gap. So you have to be respecting that right there.

So we have a Swing Low... after trading down into a Bullish Breaker.

I want to see it trade up into the Consequent Encroachment of the NWOG (New Week Opening Gap).

And then... if... again, this is all contingent upon the Dollar Index continuously Weakening.

This Swing Low... this is that single candle here... too long with the candle to the downside into this Bullish Breaker.

We are showing initial signs that it wants to support price at that old Monday Fair Value Gap, which is an Initial Fair Value Gap.

I like to Extend that through the Week.

We want to see price trade Above... and then respect this Fair Value Gap as an IFVG (Inversion Fair Value Gap).

We run the risk of... if it does go higher, it doesn't even come back to that Fair Value Gap.

And that is the only thing in these types of conditions where we have had the NASDAQ perform so strongly upside.

Dow firming up a little bit.

But using this type of strategy, which is the Sick Sister Concept... where it is kind of like playing Catch Up with the Leader.

Where one market is leading and maybe indicating...

👉

So what constitutes a return back into that for an Inversion Fair Value Gap?

I need to see it trade Above it.

And then start—at least the very minimum—a New Candle.

So since we are looking at a 5-minute chart here... I require it to be above it... Close... and then start a New Candle where it trades down into it.

It cannot trade above it and pass back through it like it's doing here.

That to me is not "rising above and then coming back down." That doesn't fit the conditions I am looking for.

We have a bit of a BISI in here.

Swing Low. Now Stops would be trailed below that.

So if it didn't drop down in here... but leave... leave this Open somehow. Don't close all that in. Don't go... don't go all the way back down to that candle's High at 13,013.50.

I wouldn't want to see that if it's going to go higher.

So we want to see it remain Open Partially. It can come back down here a little bit. That is Permissible.

I wouldn't have any concern about that removing Short Term Bullishness... if Dollar fails to rally.

So in other words: Dollar has to remain Weak.

It can Consolidate... but it just Can't Rally.

If it rallies, that makes this problematic. And it would want to slip below this Fair Value Gap, which would undo my initial interest this morning.

And none of this really changes the thing that I outlined last night for where I think the ES could eventually go to.

We have plenty of time between now and where we close on Friday. So anything can happen in a short span of time.

👉

I'm reading the Price Action right now.

So I am not limited to just a One Trick Pony Concept or One Model.

I want to be able to teach you how to be Flexible as well, so that we can grow outside of your model that you have adopted initially.

Your First Model will always be near and dear to your heart.

But it is probably not going to be the one that you spend the rest of your Career as a Trader using.

Will you have dozens of models? Probably not.

But you only need One. And you have to start with one of them.

All I am doing is I am Speculating that they could potentially... could trade Higher and reach for that 4138 and 4133.25.

But Nothing Here bolsters my confidence to do so.

The other reason why we wait for something like this and I utilize the Inversion Fair Value Gap.

Think about what we saw at 8:30.

Pretend you are sitting at your chart for the first time. You only see what you see here. At present.

You don't have any idea what I talked about last night. You don't have any preconceived bias? Nothing. No. No influence at all.

You sit down, you see this at 8:30. What was the rush to do?

Take out Buyside.

All these highs over here had Buy Stops resting above it.

So at 8:30, in one single pass, it ran up there, traded into an old New Week Opening Gap Low here.

And then... did it stay up there? No.

But it was in a Rush to go there, wasn't it?

And since it has happened, what has price done?

Has it reversed? No.

Has it come back down to some measure of Fair Value? Yes.

Discount. Bullish Breaker.

It has offered multiple passes in Monday's Initial Fair Value Gap.

We are watching this SIBI (Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency) with IFVG potential.

👉

So I'm teaching you: Yes, there are Fair Value Gaps here.

And just because an Indicator might be out there that someone's coded... and they see a separation between one candle and a candle two candles later...

That does not mean that is a Tradable Inefficiency.

It doesn't mean that's an ICT Fair Value Gap.

It just means that, yeah, there's an Imbalance there.

What makes My Concept mine... is how I utilize it within a Narrative.

Imbalances have always been in the marketplace.

But how I incorporate them in my Analysis and Tape Reading...

That is the Unique Part.

The bodies of these two candles here are respecting that Fair Value Gap(SIBI in blue).

So incorporate that with the Rush to get above here for the Buyside.

It went up to a Premium Array, which is the New Week Opening Gap Low. An older one, but still... nonetheless, it is there.

And then the market trades back down into a Bullish Breaker.

Have we seen Animation to the upside? Was there a desire to quickly and aggressively run to new highs after trading into the Breaker? Not yet.

What is holding it back?

This Fair Value Gap(SIBI in blue).

Which is why I said we would have to wait and see: Does it want to give way? Trade Above it? And then start a New Candle and trade Down into it. (Inversion behaviour)

That is the minimum.

Otherwise, I sit still. I don't do anything.

None of this causes any Regret for me. I don't feel like I missed anything. I don't want to chase it. I don't care.

It is going to do something that makes sense to me before it does it.

I am not looking at price and going: "Oh, oh, oh, is that what you call it?"

No.

It is either going to do something I am expecting... or I am doing Nothing.

That is Discipline.

That is trusting your experience and your Model, and what you are looking for in price action.

I am not Reacting to price.

I am Anticipating what I want to see in price to deliver within the Narrative that I am expecting to unfold in price.

That is a whole lot of mumbo jumbo, I know. But long story short... I am waiting for a setup that fits the Criteria that I have.

Nothing in this movement so far makes me feel like I need to do anything yet.

And that is a... that is a Superpower for a trader.

If a trader was a Superhero, what characteristic would you want to have as a superhero?

Invincibility?

That is what a Neophyte wants. A "never losing trader."

Well, they don't exist.

Because even Kryptonite, you know... is... it looks like Jade, doesn't it? But it's not. And it is Superman's Weakness, right?

So everybody, you know, regardless... they always have some kind of flaw. Some kind of weakness of some sort.

But a Superpower that every trader should aspire to have is Self Control.

Patience. And understanding about how they are going to React.

How are you going to...? How are you as a trader going to look at price action like this?

And every time it dropped down like that... I guarantee some of you were Salivating.

"It's going to go down for those Relative Equal Lows at 8:00 or 8:30."

It could have. Not thinking that. I'm thinking it's stuck right here.

Why should it be Stuck?

Because everything is Disjointed. It is not a Symmetrical Market.

All three averages are not moving together. They are not moving in tandem.

I would really want to see it run here above that Fair Value Gap right now... on This Candle or the very next one.

Only because we have had Two Times trading down into that Bullish Breaker, in my opinion.

If that Breaker... if it goes back down one more time... I am not so confident that that is something that is going to Support Price anymore.

Because did it deliver a response that I would expect in price from here? No.

This is just going back up to a Premium Array, which is this Fair Value Gap.

Here we traded down to it. It is showing the same type of response here, but it has yet to go Above that Fair Value Gap.

I would want to see This Candle or the Very Next One... without going below this Low.

It would mean they would Demand it... rather say it that way.

I would Demand—you want to hear "Supply and Demand"? There it is.

It Demands price to deliver that specific way.

Or I am going to Supply myself a reason to Sit Still.

That is what you would want.

If you were trading where a trader was a Superhero, you would want to know how to avoid doing something where a Weakness could be hidden in the price action that you don't necessarily see coming.

But you understand that these are the conditions where Kryptonite might be in these candlesticks.

So therefore, let me Tread Lightly.

I am not going to rush in here.

That is why it always looks like I'm Always Right. I never show losses.

The reason why I am sharing that is because I know what I am looking for.

I do lose. I've got... I got it wrong a couple times. So luckily, there is no shame in that.

But the reason why I am—most of the time, not always, but Most of the Time Accurate—is because I am working with them.

In the Mindset, and the Skill Sets I am trying to convey to you in the Long, Boring Discussions.

But you want Entries. And you want Signals. And you want to Copy something. And you want to make money.

That is... that is a Derivative of doing everything I am trying to tell you, which is more meaningful.

How do you Navigate?

How do you Sit Still and do nothing?

What are you waiting for?

I promise you, if you stay with me long enough, you will move away from that mindset of "Just get me into a trade, show me where to buy and sell."

And then you will start having More Meaningful Questions that will mount up. Like:

"How do you know when Not to take a trade?"

"How do you know when not to consider a Fair Value Gap useful?"

"How do you know when a Breaker is going to fail?"

How do you know? I am talking about right here.

But it is not Sexy.

Because it is not putting you into a trade. It is not chasing money.

But This is how you Make Money.

This is how you Keep Your Money.

This is the Risk that we run. It may just tear off without us.

I'd like to see this candle Close... and Open... have another one trade Down to it... and then React off of it that way.

And then see if it can reach up into that 4130.75 level... 4140.50.

NASDAQ made a Higher High. Dow is still sleeping in the mud. Dollar still meandering a little bit higher.

See? Ya see... I don't like that.

What we just did there... all we did was Spike Through one more time.

I would have rather seen it Close on that candle... and open a New Candle... entry. Bam.

That is what I would have rather seen.

Inversion FVG Protocol

👉

If we can get a Close Above on that one... and a New Candle Opening that trades Down into it...

We would want to see it Support Price there and then look for it to Expand Higher.

That is the Process.

That is the process... the Protocol... for how I would utilize that Inversion Fair Value Gap.

That is not the only way I use it. That is not the only way it can be used.

But that is the Entry Level Expectation of how to utilize it.

Now if I was Extremely Bullish... let's play Devil's Advocate for a moment.

And say that all three averages—the NASDAQ, the Dow, and ES—were all in Agreement moving higher today.

In this Fair Value Gap... I've had my intention... I would be going Long inside of it.

Not requiring it to go above it and trade back down and support.

Much like you see me sometimes entering on Order Blocks... where I am annotated saying: "This is an Order Block."

"Why didn't you wait for it to go above it and come back down?"

Because that is just Another Way of using it.

I would expect to see something like Immediate Rebalance here.

Immediate Rebalance is where it Opens... comes right back down... touches that candle...

And then like Rocket Fuel takes off.

That is also something I watch when I am looking at Order Flow.

Generally that happens either when everything starts getting In Sync or the market is Symmetrical.

And it is so obvious where it wants to go to.

Those are those Low Resistance Liquidity Run conditions that I am trying to teach you how to appreciate.

Whereas in These Conditions... think about what you are feeling today. Even with me talking to you.

You want so bad to find something to get in here and do... you want to have some kind of response monetarily? Preferably profitable.

But you feel like you want to be doing something, otherwise it feels like it is Wasted Time.

You won't have that impulse once you fully understand what I am showing you.

The Contrast between this type of market environment—which they all have very similar characteristics... the characteristics being a High Resistance Liquidity Run condition.

Translate that to a very Stubborn, Stagnant market condition where... yes, given enough time, it can go somewhere. It might even go to where you think it might go.

But do you have the Wherewithal to hold through all this Choppiness until it gets there?

Versus...

Trading in conditions that have No Decoupling.

Meaning that you are going to be trading Stock Index Futures: the Dow, the NASDAQ, and the E-Mini S&P are all moving in Tandem—the same direction.

And the Dollar Index is moving the Opposite direction.

And you have the support of other markets like Forex, individual stocks that you might like that are high volume movers.

If All Those Things Agree, collectively... then you have the conditions that are ripe for a Low Resistance Liquidity Run.

Meaning that the market will be much more Liquid. Fast. It will run from one PD Array to the next with relative ease.

It will be almost Immediate Feedback that you are right.

One side note: not right that your trade [is a winner yet], but Right on Side.

PD Arrays like Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Institutional Order Flow Entry Drills, Breakers... in Low Resistance Liquidity Run conditions where everything is in agreement...

See... This is what you are waiting for.

You want to wait for these things to form in price action that leads to Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, where the market is quickly, easily—just without any effort at all—and Fast... bam... just takes off and goes right to where you want it to go.

That is what Professional Traders should focus on.

Not: "Well, I gotta be out here and do it. Because I gotta push my edge."

You Dull your edge by doing that. You dull it.

You want to be able to Pick Your Shots. Know what you are waiting for.

Because you know what you are looking for... because you know that you are expecting a Specific Thing to unfold... you are Patient.

You are not going to be caught up in the Frenzy that an average retail trader would be clamoring to figure out: "What they're supposed to be doing right now?"

"I gotta do something right now."

No. You don't.

Think about what it is I am showing you.

And what I am teaching you... even in this Sloppy Choppy Mess.

I am Patiently Explaining to you what would be expected in price. What we would be Waiting For.

We are not trying to reach for some kind of Indicator to plot something.

We are looking for Things to Occur.

Sick Sister Idea

Consolidation and rally higher on ES

Consolidation and rally higher on NQ

YM with Sick Sister idea

What is resting above here?

Buyside Liquidity.

Are we there yet? No.

So you can look at how we can utilize something like this here... we could drop down into much Lower Timeframes.

I am not going to do it here.

But this is where I usually drop down into like a 5 Second, 10 Second, 15 Second chart.

And I would buy a BISI (Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency) in here.

If I was showing you that I went in and I bought here... invariably, someone would look at it as: "He's chasing price."

Not understanding that the Context behind it would be:

Number one: the ES is performing. The NASDAQ is performing.

This is a High Frequency Scalp idea.

A High Frequency Trading Algorithm... it will look for that Displacement among the three averages.

For instance, the NASDAQ has been leading to the upside.

High Frequency Trading Algorithms will look for that Disparity between the averages.

And when there is a Buy Program—which is what we were outlining this morning—we want to see it have all three averages moving in tandem. They should agree.

If it doesn't? That's fine.

Because it will create this Sick Sister Concept.

In other words, one of them is Sick. It doesn't have the energy, it doesn't have the strength to perform the same way the leader did like the NASDAQ.

But given enough time... it Heals.

It gets its strength and then finally moves in Sympathy.

So it runs in favor of what the stronger one has done. So it pulls... the strong one pulls this one up.

It grabs a hold of it by its hair and drags its rear end up, you know, higher with it.

So what the High Frequency Trading Algorithm would do is look for that moment where I just outlined to you... there is a disparity.

The orders haven't been taken for data yet.

So a High Frequency Trading Algorithm would go in there on a drop down on 5 or 10 or 15 Second Intervals... sometimes less than that.

They will buy into that Inefficiency.

This stuff Repeats every week, every day, and it will not stop.

They can't Hide it from you. They cannot hide these things from you folks.

There is no reason to be Fearful that it is going to stop working.

When the markets are taken away from us entirely and we can't trade them... That is something to worry about.

But as long as we have Access to trading, these concepts that have already been created and presented to the community will Continue to Work.

They won't fall out of favor. They won't become the Retail Logic... because This is the Market.

There is always New Suckers coming into this industry. Always. Always.

And they are always going to buy the Same Stuff that you have bought, that I bought.

Books. Courses. Listening to people on the internet.

And they will always start off on the Wrong Foot.

And because of that... because of that very Truth...

It repeats... I know that It's Boring.

Now let's take a step back. And look at that Five Minute Chart.

Okay?

So remember I was telling you about the Bullish Breaker... we did not want to see it come back down here.

We need to see it in This Candle—I said "that candle or the next one"—it needs to Run.

Traded up into NWOG (New Week Opening Gap) the Low.

And into Consequent Encroachment.

Into the High.

And then went even Further.

I mentioned that was a Swing Low within the context of what?

Looking for price to try to Catch Up with the NASDAQ.

Think about what price was showing right here. Okay, right in here.

And then look at what NASDAQ was doing at that very time... right here.

This 9:35 Candle?

Let's look at NASDAQ.

What is going on here?

NASDAQ is tipping its hand.

It is saying: "We are under Accumulation. We are going into a Buy Program."

"Watch for Higher Prices."

"I am not waiting around. I'll see [you] when we get there."

ES... Consolidating around.

Scaring individuals. Worrying individuals. Confusing people.

And the Only Thing we are doing is looking at Two Reference Points:

What were they?

The Bullish Breaker... which it tapped Twice.

And the Monday Initial Fair Value Gap(marked in green)... dragged through.

Because we are not Supply and Demand?

I'm sorry, I'm not.

When you first started trading... the things about you Never Losing. Never having a Losing Trade.

That is the Myth. That is a myth.

You are going to have a Losing Trade. And every trader takes a loss. I take losses.

But what keeps me On Side... is what I am explaining to you.

Now think about how... how could I have said everything I said this morning... Shorter?

Knowing what I have said here today... what I was looking for... the Rules and the Reasons why I would be waiting?

What I am looking for... why I am expecting it to do This.

What am I referring to to support the idea of what would Negate it? What would Nullify it?

Now come up with a way—because you have it now in Hindsight—how could you have said everything I said here in less time or less words?

You Can't.

So that is the reason why these Boring Discussions and Lectures are fruitful for you.

If you spend the time in them... most of the questions that you don't even have yet... are going to be answered Preemptively.

By simply studying during these... these parts. Okay? These Lectures.

This is the stuff that I wish I would have had access to.

Because Entry Mechanisms... that is easy stuff. Because that is easy.

But knowing Why the market should behave a specific way...

How Not to be caught up on the wrong side...

How to trust Time...

How to trust the Ebb and Flow of how all these markets work together.

You can't just look at One Chart, one market, and say: "I am going to be informed. And I am just going to do this."

You are not.

You could be profitable, yes. But you are only looking at things through a very Small Scope.

And there are a lot of other details and other Supporting Features that come by way of looking at other markets and other assets.

So when you have this expectation of only looking at one market:

"Only one market... don't Dilute my attention with something else I might not even be interested in trading. Let me just focus on the market I am trading. So therefore, I am really dialed in."

No.

You are Myopically looking at one thing. You are doing One Trick Pony Analysis.

And I can tell you, if you are really trying to be good at this... and you want to be Calm. You want to feel Composed.

And you want it to be Boring, folks.

You absolutely do not want a Rave Environment. We are not running a Nightclub here.

You want your money making to be Boring.

You want excitement? On the Weekends... when you are not trading. Then spend your money and do whatever you want to do.

That is where the excitement comes in. You are enjoying the Fruits of your Labor.

But This is War.

You haven't won yet. You don't have your victory. You haven't taken your spoils yet.

So there should be No Celebrating and Dancing while you are at war.

You have to have your Spear, your Sword at your side, and your Shield.

And you got to be ready to Bleed. Because that is what is going to come.

And you want to keep that bleeding to the Minimum.

But you want to do as much Damage to the marketplace when it presents its head on your Blade.

That is Low Resistance Liquidity Run Trading.

Markets transition from High Resistance to Low Resistance.

Where does that occur? Where does it occur today?

What Time of Day do we focus on?

What's the... what's the Flavor for April's teaching? The Silver Bullet.

So it is a Time Specific Window of Opportunity that the Algorithm will present to traders that are Aware... that are looking for it.

You just can't go out there and say: "Oh, here's a Fair Value Gap. So let's look at that and trade it."

No. No. No. No.

The Fair Value Gap... that is the Context or the Multiplier used in the Silver Bullet trade.

So let's walk through real time in Context.

What was the Bias? Higher.

What was I calling for as a target? 4138.75 and maybe 4140.50.

So my bias intraday for the AM Session was Bullish.

It was not 50/50. It was not "It's going to probably go down here."

I was drawing your attention to that New Week Opening Gap.

While it was meandering around here... going sideways... refer to that Initial Fair Value Gap on Monday.

Explaining how it is drawn through the Entire Week.

Much like I teach the Opening Price on Sunday.

If you drag that through all of the week, it will treat it as Fair Value.

It is also helpful for trading positions... Long Term Positions.

Because you can... if you are looking to be Long... you want to ideally try to get something long Below that Opening Price that opens on Sunday.

It matters not how deep below.

Swing Trading and Sunday Open

👉

Your Best Case Long Term Swing Trading...

They are better entered...

If you are Bullish... Below the Opening Price on Sunday.

Or if you are Bearish... Above the Opening Price on Sunday.

It is not limited to that.

But the Best... if you go back and look at your Opening Moves and such on longer timeframes...

You will see That is True.

Under my tutelage... you are not Retail Minded.

You are not... you are not learning to do what retail traders do.

You are not falling victim to things they fall victim to.

You are Relaxing.

You are letting price give it to you on a Silver Platter right there.

Where did the markets transition from High Resistance Liquidity to Low Resistance Liquidity Runs?

All this Choppiness was going on... is called Time Distortion.

This right here is what makes people say Time Based Charts are useless.

Because they have No Idea how to use Time.

We have this Fair Value Gap (marked in open blue SIBI).

Yes, it dropped down into a Discount as we would expect it to do... into a Bullish Breaker, which is a Discount Array.

How far could it go down?

To the low of that candle right here? This candle at 7:10?

Why isn't this the breaker?

Because the Body of the candle of this one is Higher than the body of that candle.

Even though this high here... I don't care about that.

The Volume inside that candle dictated that it would be closing here.

The Wicks do the Damage, the Bodies tell the Story.

You can't just go: "Oh, this looks like a Breaker."

No.

You have to grab the Right Range.

And I am giving you... and teaching you... and have already taught how to identify the Specific Order Block.

How you use these Order Blocks... that is Experience.

You have to be Mentored by me. You have to See Me Doing It.

You just can't say every Down Closed Candle is an Order Block.

Just like I am going to show you... every Fair Value Gap isn't something to be traded.

You have to have an understanding of Narrative.

Narrative is... in the simplest way of explaining it...

It would be knowing what the Algorithm will do based on its Source Coding.

Not that "This is what a pattern should show."

It is: What is the Algorithm [doing]?

What is the Algorithm going to do?

And Why should it? And When should you expect it to happen?

‼️ IMPORTANT ‼️

👉

Narrative is the understanding of what the algorithm will do next. Why it will do so and when it will do it.

How can Random Buying and Selling Pressure present...

The Level of Precision that I am showing you exists...

At the Time I am telling you to anticipate it.

It takes more Faith to believe that Garbage...

Than it does to see the Proof and Evidence I am presenting every time I sit down with you.

So Narrative is the understanding of what the Algorithm is going to do in price next.

Why it should do it?

And When will it do it?

I told you that the Initial Fair Value Gap on Monday... that was one of interest for me.

And I told you I drag that out... much like a Sunday Opening Price.

Just like I teach on an intraday daily basis... the Opening Price at Midnight.

You can utilize that for Power of Three concepts.

And you buying Below it when you are Bullish.

Selling short Above it when you are Bearish.

It is a really nice Filter.

It doesn't mean you can't take shorts or longs that would not be in agreement with that idea.

It just means that that is the Best of the Best.

If you are really trying to be Disciplined.

And you are willing to let a lot of trades go By... that you just really want the Best Ones.

And you want to have like the record that I am showing you publicly...

(My Track Record is what you see... on accurate. When I call it, it works. When I whistle for it, it comes. That is the track record I am bringing publicly).

Then use This Filtration.

Let's go into those Three Questions here with this morning...

And kind of like Solidify this as a lecture that you can be thankful that you were part of.

The Initial Opening Range I mentioned here.

That was providing us Initial Resistance on the idea that we would see ES get in Sync with what the NASDAQ was doing.

So go back and think about what I was suggesting about the Dollar.

I wanted to see it go Weak... go Lower.

But it could...

Here is one of those If-Then Statements in logic.

If the Dollar goes lower... ES can go higher Easily.

However... if that doesn't occur... then we find that the Dollar Consolidates.

Which is what I said in the recording. Go back and listen to it.

It can consolidate while the Dollar has been consolidating.

I said I don't want to see it turn here.

It has already done Three Stages.

A Low that went below... him. This one over here.

This low went below that one.

So if it starts to turn here... it is going to do what?

It is going to trade back up into these areas here.

The Narrative is stating that the Dollar has already done Three Stages of Runs on Sellside.

It is not technically a Three Drives Pattern... but from a Narrative Stance...

It has already taken Three Pools of Liquidity for Sellside.

So what is it likely to do next?

Consolidate? Or Run for Buyside?

Where is it going to consolidate?

It is going to consolidate Here and Here. (between the dealing range’s high and low)

What has it done? Consolidated.

If it runs higher... where is the Buyside?

Right about here (dealing range high)

A Consolidating Dollar is not equivalent to a Lower Dollar... where we would expect Higher Prices in ES.

We would not want to go Long... on ES if this was Raging Higher and traded outside of its Dealing Range High.

That is not what we want to see.

Consolidation in Dollar is much like what I teach when teaching Forex.

But Dollar Index can be consolidated. And when it consolidates...

What that does in Forex... it allows the Cross Pairs—the non-dollar based currency pairs—to move.

Versus like when Dollar is moving freely higher or lower.

That is Directional for Euro Dollar, Pound Dollar, Aussie Dollar.

But if the Dollar is held in Consolidation, like we are seeing here...

What happens is you will end up seeing like Euro Pound will be permitted to trade Wider than it normally would.

You will see a difference between Cable and Euro.

If you look at the difference between the two now... Cable is a little bit weaker on the downside.

The Euro Dollar... okay... it is Consolidating.

With the Dollar.

POUND DOLLAR... much more Elevated... even though it is Sloppy and Sideways.

A lot more Animation to the Downside.

What do you think is going to happen when we load up the Euro Pound currency pair?

What direction would it be?

And would it be Stagnant Price Action?

Would it be consolidating like we have seen Euro and Dollar... or would it have a little bit more Wider Range or Displacement?

Think about the logic I just gave you.

You have the Euro Dollar... it is consolidating. It is holding its own against the Dollar.

You have the Pound Dollar... it has Animation to the Downside. It is showing weakness.

So if you pair a Steady Euro against a Weak Pound... what does the math tell you?

It is going to go Higher.

And because the Dollar is consolidating... the algorithm permits the Cross Pairs to trade Wider.

So we are not looking for stagnation. We are looking for Displacement to the Upside.

Oh, look at that.

So Euro Dollar was consolidating... while Dollar was consolidating.

And Cable was decidedly lower... more Animation to the Downside.

Giving way to a Firmer Euro Pound.

So the Trend is going to exist or materialize in this print... this pair.

Because it is Not... it is not rooted or founded on the Dollar.

So the Allowance for the Algorithm moves and shifts to This Pair... while they are holding Dollar.

Euro is heavily weighted with Dollar. So it takes a lot for it not to be consolidating with it.

But the times that it does break out... that would cause Euro Pound to drop.

But it is consolidating with Dollar... while Cable drops. Cable is POUND DOLLAR.

So that is the equivalent to saying that This is going to go Up as a trend.

So you want to find Big Trending Days or Big Trending Model Days...

In Crosses that are Not Dollar Based.

This is taught in the Core Content.

👉

You don't want to be surprised by Anything... except a Black Swan Event.

Things like September 11. United States.

Something like that Pearl Harbor event. That type of thing.

Nobody can know for Certain that is going to happen.

And when it does... it sends Shockwaves through the markets.

And then you are going to take a Loss.

That is the Risk.

This is Time Distortion.

Okay... all these candles bouncing around in that little range like that.

That is Time Distortion.

The way you clean all that up... and how I use Time Based Charts... and how the Algorithm itself will refer to Time.

You want to use a Time Based Chart because that is the Best Way to see Algorithmic Price Delivery.

Inside this Range.

What range? This High to that Low.

Why am I picking that high? It is a Closed Candle.

Why am I not picking that one... when it is an up-close candle?

Because this candle's High is Higher than that one.

It is also having a candle that is Lower [to the right]... and its high to the Left of it.

So this makes this one a Swing High.

So that High down to this Bullish Breaker that passed through One Time.

That is your Dealing Range.

This is your Dealing Range.

Inside that Dealing Range.

I don't care how much time it spends inside of it. I don't care.

I am Waiting. I am waiting for Something to Occur.

What was that everything I outlined this morning?

Does it support price going higher at the Breaker? Yes.

It goes back down one more time. Does it go outside that range? No.

So the Dealing Range is not disrupted.

It only went down there one more time.

But inside that range... with all these candles... I am not worrying about this.

Okay? I am not Impatient. You heard me.

I am waiting for... what?

I am waiting for the movement Above that Fair Value Gap... inside... inside of this Dealing Range.

And it is in the Premium Side of that range. It is in the upper portion... the upper half of it.

My expectation was we were going to reach for Higher Prices this morning.

I outlined it. It is all in here.

4138.75 was my specific target.

Because it would take us above this High here.

That is where Buyside is.

So where specifically am I aiming for?

I am going to Submit to Time.

While it is doing all this Chopping Around... until it does what I want to see it do.

Right back to that Fair Value Gap.

Once it trades Above that... and takes out these Highs.

I am not concerned of how many candles it makes going Sideways... until we get Above.

When we get above... Take out these Highs here.

What is that technically becoming?

A Shift in Market Structure.

We have already shown Two Times where it worked off of that Bullish Breaker... that Blue Shaded Area down here.

And I told you the candles that it needs to now Deliver.

Otherwise, it is Not Good.

And it would probably go Deeper than the Bullish Breaker. And my analysis would be Incorrect.

And I would just have to wait for something else to do.

So I gave you all the Parameters.

Everything I told you what would Nullify the idea.

I told you what we were specifically waiting for.

What the criteria was... where the Accumulation would take place inside the Bullish Breaker and inside of the Initial Fair Value Gap on Monday.

That is this Green Area.

Does it accumulate in here? Yes.

Does it send price Above that Fair Value Gap that I had on the 5-minute chart... when I expected it to do it? Yes.

It came in... Opened... Traded down into it again a little bit... and then Rallied.

Then created the Fair Value Gap I drew your attention to real time right then and there.

I said that if this candle here... I would like to see it trade down and give it an Immediate Rebalance.

Because this would otherwise be a Fair Value Gap right when that forms.

What are you waiting for?

What Time of Day are you waiting for in the Morning Session?

Between 10 o'clock and 11?

Folks, you can set your Business Hours to what I am teaching.

These ideas have always been rooted in Algebra.

Algorithmic Price Delivery.

As soon as we went through Electronic Trading...

You think they just electronically allow you to just Randomly push price around?

You honestly believe... Listen, pay attention.

You believe that they are going to allow Us... the Collective...

To Muscle these markets into a Crashing Scenario?

You really think that is going to happen?

No Way. No Way.

That is a Religion if you believe that.

So in between 10 o'clock... and 11.

We are talking about 60 Minutes, folks. 60 Minutes.

It is very specific... Time Based.

Silver Bullet.

You want a One Shot One Kill Silver Bullet idea... Here It Is.

It Repeats. Repeats. Repeats. Repeats.

But how does it work?

You have to understand the Narrative.

You have to learn how to see these things form Before they are in the chart.

What are these Repeating Characteristics?

Let's walk through Time.

Okay... what is the price going to do Algorithmically... Next?

Okay... we went down to that Bullish Breaker one more time.

It should deliver Above that Fair Value Gap that I told you...

That within Two Candles... it should start Running.

So it should go Higher.

And then start reaching for the Buyside over here.

And into that 4138.75 Level.

And the High... of the old New Week Opening Gap.

So that is me telling you what I believe that the Algorithm is going to do Next.

It wasn't Ambiguous.

It wasn't Flip Flop.

It wasn't Wishy Washy.

It was Exactly what I said.

Why should it do it? That was the other question.

Because this is Negative. Okay.

Well... because we have already went down to the Low of that Dealing Range... from that High to that Low.

We did Not Break it.

And it is approaching what time? 10 o'clock.

So you forgot about Time.

I didn't... I was Aware Constantly.

I don't have to have these Lines on my chart... but You Should.

While you are Learning.

You should have these Reference Points highlighted in Time on your chart.

Because it will keep your Eyes Focused on what it is you are looking for.

Once there is an Imbalance that is formed...

I took your attention to it Right There.

I would rather have seen Immediately this run here... and then Take Off.

That is what I Wanted to See.

Because that is what I am looking for in Low Resistance Liquidity Run signatures.

That... I Love that pattern. I Love It.

Because it tells me it was going to go Much Higher than it has.

But because it Didn't...

I would like to see a trade down... and touch that Candle's High.

That would be an Immediate Rebalance.

If that occurred... we would be above 4180.

Because it created the Fair Value Gap.

In other words... Close Here.

And kept that Low Here... and that Candle's High Here...

That started with a FVG.

Then it becomes a simple Silver Bullet Trade.

Then you have to revert back to just...

Okay... where were your Targets?

And There It Is.

And be Done.

And be Content with that for the Morning Session.

Why is this FVG not valid?

Because the Narrative was... we had to go Above the M5 SIBI... in Light Blue.

You trade Above... which cancels out the Premium Idea on a short basis.

Because if it can trade Through that... what is it doing?

It is Disregarding... it is Disrespecting... what would otherwise be a Selling Area.

And how many times did we trade up into that? Multiple Times?

So it is One and Out.

It is Telegraphing it to you that this is Not an area to go short on.

So what are we looking for?

A run Above Here... and above that M5 SIBI.

Then Rally... between 10 o'clock and 11 o'clock.

When... for Narrative... when does this form?

Between 10 o'clock and 11 o'clock.

It Can't be this as a Fair Value Gap.

Because it is Below what we require it to be... broken to the Upside (the M5 SIBI).

We can't look at that as a Fair Value Gap.

That is... that is not even a Fair Value Gap.

It is a Balanced Price Range.

We have a Fair Value Gap here.

And we have one Here.

This is All Balanced.

So there is No Need for it to go back down there.

That is the part you don't know.

FVG(BISI) Silver Bullet...

The difference between if there would have been an Immediate Rebalance...

There probably wouldn't have been a Silver Bullet trade for this... Indices.

And then we would be Rocketing Higher to 4180.

But because we had a Fair Value Gap form... Traditionally...

Then it is just Retrade down to it... Perfectly to this candle... To the Tick.

Here... Here... and Off to the Races it goes.

So Narrative is the Most Important Thing.

Not Market Structure.

Market Structure...

You hear your trading requires... in essence... your understanding of Market Structure.

"It's Market Structure... is Everything you are looking for."

No... It's Not.

It is One Facet... One Piece... One Little Cog in the machine.

It is Useful... don't get me wrong.

But Narrative is Where It's At.

Why should it rally here?

"But Michael... why didn't it go down here for these Relative Equal Lows?"

Because it doesn't need to.

It was going down here to pick up Discount Pricing.

Going down here to pick up Discounting Price... goes Above a Premium Array... as we would expect.

We aren't looking at this as a Selling Opportunity...

Because it has already shown us what? It is Not Likely to do that.

We were not falling victim to This as a short either.

We didn't like it as a Selling Opportunity.

I said... We Are Waiting.

Your job is to Anticipate Price... not React to it.

A Retail Trader will say your job is to react to price.

"It is not to predict the future."

That is Nonsense.

Because if you are taking Any Risk Ever...

And you are putting a Position on...

And you are putting a Stop Loss...

And you are putting a Target for it to reach to...

You are trying to Predict the Future.

You might not want to call it that because it is a "guess".

We Don't Guess.

We do Technical Science.

Whether you like it or not...

These things are going to Continue.

The Level of Precision is going to continue... it is Not Going to Stop.

If anything... it is going to get Better.

It is the Systems that these markets run on... they improve with Speed.

And Technology only does one thing... Speeds Things Up.

So that means we are going to have a Whole Lot More Setups.

There will be More Opportunities... not less.

They Can't Hide It From You.

Why it should happen?

Why shouldn't it go down here and take out their Stops, Michael?

Because it went Lower... when we are Bullish.

NASDAQ was showing us that it wants to go Higher.

Even though initially... the market was Decoupled.

And the Averages were not in Agreement.

Meaning that the Dow was going Lower... NASDAQ was Screaming Higher.

And ES was doing This... (Time Distortion).

Since I am forcing myself to work with One Market. Just to show you that.

Yes, there is going to be... I didn't see the price run for NASDAQ. I didn't call any of that out.

But I Utilize NASDAQ today in my analysis.

I don't ever trade the Dow. But I use the Dow as a Part of my analysis.

I don't trade the Dollar. I Utilize it a lot in my Forex analysis... You Have To.

But even if the Dollar is going Sideways... that is Telling You Something.

It is telling you to go into the Crosses that don't have Dollar in them.

And you are going to see the Bigger Moves there.

But when the Dollar is Moving... it is Rare that you are going to see the Non-Dollar Based Crosses move.

They Can... but they are going to be Limited.

They won't have as much Freedom as they will when they Hold Dollar.

Which is the Reason why they do that.

That is a Control Mechanism.

It is all part of allowing the Forex pairs to Move Around and Gyrate.

It is not always... "Let's go on here and look for a Setup."

No.

Let's look in here and see... Are they Holding Anything?

If they are Holding Something... that tells you Something Else to Do.

You can Time the Market within 10 o'clock and 11 o'clock every day.

Every Day this forms... Every Single Day.

And you were Worried about when you first got into it.

"How do I Buy? Where do I Buy? You know... When is the Next Big Move happening?"

Those are questions that you Never Found Answers To.

That is why you Jumped Around from person to person... Influencer to Influencer... System Chasing... and Not Being Consistent.

I am Removing Any Excuse for you not to be Disciplined... Organized... and know Exactly what you are doing.

There is Nothing Better than This.

This is the Elite... Superior... Apex Version of analysis.

There is Absolutely Nothing Better than this.

This Is The Market.

What is a good way to really Filter Out this ideal?

How can we really Supercharge it... and make it even Better than this?

Okay... let's think about like this in Better Market Conditions.

Not that we have here... because this is admittedly...

This is Very Challenging Market Condition.

I already know that it is going to probably deliver Much Lower Grade of Price Delivery...

Than I would expect in other times where we are in a Much Faster Market... More Loose...

Where the market just Moves Around a little bit more.

Now I am not referring to a Specific Trend.

I am not talking that trend at all.

I am just talking about How Much it Can Move Around.

Because they are Holding It Back... even though this is a Really Respectable Amount of Range.

It is still being Held Back.

It is being Controlled within that Daily Range.

Until we leave this Consolidation... we are in a Scalping Market.

And if you try to Swing Trade... or Long Term Position Trade...

You are probably going to get Stopped Out... you are probably going to be Frustrated.

And that is because you don't know what you are looking at in terms of the Market Profile.

Not the Market Profile that you think I am talking about...

I am not looking at Histograms of Volume posted on my chart vertically.

I am talking about the Profile... or think about it like a Roadmap...

How price should Behave or Deliver, okay?

This Profile that we are in right now... is a Range Bound Consolidation.

I Prefer it trade Higher.

That is what I Want to see happen.

My Want... my Will... has No Part of what the market is going to do.

So while my analysis is Favoring that... I am Not Against going short if it presents it.

But I would like to see it Leave to the Upside of this range here.

Until we Leave this range... we will be in these small little Choppy, Intraday, Range Bound Consolidations.

And you need to be Very Nimble.

Meaning that you Don't Marry any trade and turn it into a Long Term Position.

Don't Do That.

Because it can be Very Frustrating to be in a nice, fat Profitable Trade...

"Yeah, I am not going to take any partials here... because it is going to go to my longer term Weekly or Monthly chart objective."

Only to see it Come Back and knock you out of it with a Loss...

Or Scare You Out of it with a smaller fraction of what you had in open unrealized profit.

You Collapsed it with a smaller profit... it is Very, Very Deflating.

And you are going to Have That... there is no way really avoiding it.

Because in the beginning... you are going to try all the things you Shouldn't Do.

You are going to Do It, okay.

But you have to Learn Quickly from them.

If you make that mistake... Not To Do This Again.

The Smarter, More Apt Pupil will listen to me.

And I tell you these are the Pitfalls... Don't Go In There and do those things I Hurt Myself with.

Listen to me and avoid the things I tell you to Avoid...

Do the things I tell you to Do.

And Trust the Process.

Submit the Time... and it will do its work on you.

You will be in the Upper Echelon of my student base.

And it is a Very Small Group.

So that way... you don't Fall Victim to that.

And make your Learning Curve much longer than it needs to be.

You are going to make this Longer... not Me.

But we answered the Equation of Narrative... what is it?

It is knowing what the Algorithm is going to do Next.

Why it should do it.

There is No Need for it to go down here... below these Relative Equal Lows.

When we are going up against Bullishness.

Inside all these individual candles... (during the time distortion phrase) I am Ignoring all these candles until we get into that Breaker.

Because if we get in that Breaker... and we go Below that Low...

We have now traded Outside of the Dealing Range... of that High and that Low.

And that is something I have to now Measure.

Do we view it as a Run on Stops... that Rejects and goes back Above Here?

Or does it Accelerate Down?

If it Accelerated Down... and treated this Breaker as an Inversion Level?

Then I would have to Abandon the idea of initial Bullishness... and Wait for More Information.

That is not Reacting to Price.

It is Anticipating what I Want to See in price...

And what I would be Engaging With... willing to Assume Risk on.

And the Other Side of the Coin.

That is not saying... "Here I am right if it does this... and you know, I always got an out to say I am right."

No.

I am showing you what Negates what I would rather do.

And this is what it would do in Price Action for me Not to Take a Trade.

But this is what would Likely Unfold if it did.

In shorter, plain terms... it is knowing what you Want to Trade On.

But also Identifying... if that is not going to pan out...

What it is Likely to Do if it is not going to do that.

But you are Not Willing to trade on that.

That is not a 50/50... "I am always right."

That is something that I Favor One Side of the marketplace.

Whenever I give an Opinion... whenever I sit down with my Students...

Whenever I am doing something Live in a marketplace...

I always tell you what I think... This Is The Side of the marketplace I Favor.

Even in Climates and Trading Days where I would Not Trade.

Like against FOMC... against the CPI Number.

about CPI

All you have to do is look at that 60 Minute Interval right there...

Between 10 o'clock and 11 o'clock... in New York Local Time.

Your Entire Model... All of It...

Can be with inside that 60 Minute Window.

The Problem is... it is Not Going to be Enough for you.

You Outgrow it... or you already Anticipate outgrowing it.

about blending Higher Timeframe confluences like Seasonal Tendencies or Weekly Profile with the Silver Bullet

If you trade on the days that are in a Weekly Profile...

Meaning where for instance... a Classic Bullish Weekly Profile...

Would be a Tuesday Low of the Week in London. Okay.

If you used a Market Environment that has a Seasonal Tendency...

For the market that you are trading... and will say ES, okay.

If you are on a Seasonal Tendency for ES to trade Higher...

For the next couple of weeks.

You should be really trying to do Most of Your Analysis with that expectation...

To try to look for Longs.

And if that is the case...

If you are trading on Monday, Tuesday...

And if the Low really hasn't materialized in a Stunning Fashion...

By Wednesday... Wednesday's New York Session like this.

The tendency for you to capture a Big Move is there...

Using that Weekly Profile trading inside of this 10 o'clock till 11 o'clock time window.

Those Silver Bullet Trades will be Phenomenal.

Because what are you doing?

You are Participating in a Larger Higher Timeframe Price Run...

Based on a Weekly Expectation... inside of a Seasonal Tendency.

That is in Alignment with the side of the trade you are taking.

Whether it be a Bullish Seasonal Tendency... or Bearish Seasonal Tendency...

Whatever you are doing at that time.

You are really placing Everything going in your Favor in that direction.

So you can really Supercharge your trades with this Little Window.

It is not like this takes you Out of those types of trades...

Or One Shot One Kill trade.

Now you can Participate in them with This.

And in fact... you might not be able to get yourself in...

With how I teach the One Shot One Kill entries...

Which would typically be usually Earlier in the Morning... or in London.

So you couldn't be there for that... or you Missed It.

The Bottom Line is... is this stuff works Perfectly.

You as the Operator... you are going to Do It Wrong.

You are going to do something wrong... just like sometimes I do.

I have a lot of Scar Tissue because I hurt myself a lot.

And as a younger man... forcing my Will on something...

I have so many examples where I did something wrong... but Made Money.

Later Lost It.

But I did things wrong... it made money.

And I Thought that there was something to it.

And if I just go back in and try to Tweak This and Tweak That... "Is there something to it?"

No.

It was just me being Lucky at that time.

Luck is Not a Skill.

It is just a Happenstance.

I just did something without any Real Logic behind it.

And it just so happens that that is what the Price Wanted to Do at the time.

That is the equivalent of Everything in Retail.

That is what is happening... but you won't be Honest with yourself.

You won't be honest.

The ones that Are Honest... know that they have a Crummy System.

But their Money Management is the Secret.

And that is what I Agree with.

Anybody that trades Outside of what I teach... is profitable and consistently profitable?

You are an Exceptional Money Manager.

And you Deserve every bit of that accolade... you deserve that.

You Absolutely Deserve that.

That is a Skill most... and I am saying 99%... won't ever reach.

It can be good... seeing Setups.

They can see the setups... they can have the Bias right... Everything Right.

But their Funded Account says they can trade with 15 Contracts.

And they Did It Wrong.

But they were Right in their analysis.

But their Risk Management was Too Extreme.

They Can't Manage Risk.

You are so Drunk on the idea of Making Money...

That you do Everything Wrong... where it Matters Most.

Trade Management. Risk Management.

You Have to Know That.

And you have to know it Better than you know your Technicals.

Because the Technicals are the Least Important.

Knowing How to Keep Your Money is the First Rule.

And so many of you are Ignoring That right now.

Because you want to Plunge In.

It is Normal for a New Trader...

You feel like... "Yeah... Go, Go, Go, Go, Go, Go, Go."

And that Go, Go, Go... only leads to just Blowing Accounts.

Becoming Frustrated Sooner.

In Wearing Yourself Out... where you don't want to do it at all anymore.

And you don't give yourself a Chance.

And you have to give yourself the Right Learning Atmosphere.

And that is how I teach... I teach with All of Those Advantages.

Even though it Doesn't Feel Advantageous... it Doesn't Feel Fun.

Because there is No Profit and Loss showing.

But I Promise You.

If you take a Step Back... and look at what I am showing you.

Why it should do this.

That is what Every Trade Requires.

Where is it Going to Go?

How can you Time when it is going to start going there?

And Where are you Wrong... so that we can Limit Risk.

So Why are you Arguing?

Why are you Wrestling with me?

And giving you those answers in the Best Way it can be done...

Live... Real Time... over Real Charts.

On a Very, Very Small Timeframe... where I have such a Thin Margin for Error.

I Gotta Be Right.

The Logic has to be right.

If it doesn't Shine Through... you will see it.

I have a Long History of doing things Early... where I didn't know what I was doing.

And also did things that I Should Have Done.

But I was Scared the whole time I was doing it.

So it makes me Uncomfortable doing those things.

What am I referring to? Trading the Yen.

I Don't Want to Trade It.

Because it makes me feel like I felt before... when it Hurt Me.

So keep that Kryptonite Effect off of my mindset.

I just Don't Trade It.

That's it. It is Simple.

What... just because I have a Weakness?

"Oh, my... my calf muscles are a little weak. Let me go on there and start working them out and build them up."

That Is Not What This Is.

You know... in this... you Lose Money.

And you can lose More Than Money.

You can lose your Sanity... your Health... your Relationships.

NQ Silver Bullet BISI marked in green

There is a Consolidation... we Rally above it.

What is it going to Run For?

Relative Equal Highs... Buy Side?

So Buying in here... getting about here 20 Handles.

We have Already Seen this one run.

So would you buy that one?

No.

Go back to the Sick Sister idea.

This is the Strong One.

So it has done the Majority of its run already...

versus Dow.

I don't want to buy the Weakest One.

Because it is not always going to be...

"Oh, the weakest one is going to be the Best One to trade... because it is going to have a lot more room to Catch Up with."

It may Stay Weak throughout the session or the day.

So the one I am looking for... is the one that was Not Weak.

But Didn't Keep Up with NASDAQ.

It made Sense.Technically... we had a Bullish Breaker.

And we were watching a PD Array... expect it to Fail.

We are Anticipating Price... Sending the same price Lower on this FVG (Silver Bullet).

You can clearly see that it is going to take a Little Bit More Effort than you thought.

But it is Okay... you will be Fine.

Just keep Showing Up to time with me.

You will Learn This.

It won't happen Overnight.

It won't be Real Quick... it won't be Real Fast.

And you have to see it Being Done.

Not in Market Replay.

Not after it is Already Happened.

You watched with the Expectation of...

"I am either going to be Right... or I am going to be Wrong."

What did it Feel Like?

Did you feel like it was Not Going to Pan Out today?

That it felt like it was going to be going the Other Direction?

How did it feel for you to see it Materialize and Develop like we Wanted it to see?

That is a Learning Experience for you.

Some of you... it is probably Exhilarating to see...

"Wow... this is again... it is happening Again."

It Just Keeps Happening.

Over Time... you don't get Emotionally Stimulated by it.

It is something that you Expect.

When you get in your Car...

You are going to put the key in it... you are going to Turn the Key.

What is going to happen?

Or now... some cars like I have, a Push Button...

But some of you may still have a vehicle that has a key that you put in.

Either way... when you start your car... you push the ignition or turn the key.

What is your Expectation?

That the car is going to Start Up?

So That Is It.

That is Expected?

Are you Smiling and Laughing?

"And whoo! I am glad this thing started up today?"

No. You Are Not.

That is What You Want... with your Trading.

Now what is going to happen is...

You are going to sit down one day.

You are going to sit just like you are getting into the Driver's Side of your car.

You are going to try to Start Your Car... and it Won't.

What Do You Do?

You Deal With It.

Battery... Starter... Mechanic if you can't do it on your own.

It means What?

Missed Opportunities... Costs (which is a Loss Monetarily)... and Frustration.

Oh, guess what?

That Is The Way Trading Is.

Sometimes you are going to get behind the wheel of your Unique Model.

You are going to Believe you are going to get somewhere.

And you are going to get in behind the wheel... and it Won't Go.

And it might Come Back and take you into a Loss.

Does that mean that your car is Never going to start like you want it to in the future?

No.

Does that mean your Trading Model is Never going to give you a trading setup that pans out?

No.

But when you are New.

And you don't have the Desensitization that you put yourself through...

By Watching Price without Pushing a Button.

You are Bored.

You know these things are going to happen More Times Than Not.

Not 100%... but More Times Than Not.

Then you don't Worry about the times it won't work for you... or you are going to Do It Incorrectly.

And you Want to learn how to do this Incorrectly.

And make the Mistakes in the beginning.

So that way you Learn From Them... without any Monetary Loss.

It is Normal for you to do it wrong here... and give yourself that Permission.

There is No Scorecard.

There is No Report Card.

Nothing.

It is all Learning... taking an Experience that you Can't Get From a Book.

And you Can't Get It from a Market Replay.

Think About It.

Trade with the Smallest Size.

Even in Demo... One Micro.

Condition Yourself to trade like that.

But you Won't Want to do that.

Because it doesn't feel like it is Fun.

It doesn't give you that Video Game Feeling.

And this is Not a Video Game.

You are Conditioning Yourself to expect something in terms of a video game.

And then when we get there and you start trading with Real Money.

It Doesn't Feel like a video game then, does it?

It feels like it is Life or Death.

You Can't Breathe... your heart beating Heavy.

You feel Dizzy.

Sounds like a video game?

No.

That sounds like you are in an Emergency.

You are in a Fight for Your Very Life... that You Put Yourself Into.

You put yourself in that situation.

You can Take Yourself Out at any time... but you are Doing It.

So by trading with the Smallest Leverage.

You can trade with the Micro...

Only After you have done Paper Trading and Demo Trading for Six Months.

There is No Way you won't be successful.

But I can't guarantee you are going to be successful...

But What If you are Not going to be successful?

If you don't at least consider doing it Without Real Money... Consistently... for Six Months.

"Why six months ICT?"

You can get Lucky for three.

You can develop Bad Habits in the first three... that will Materialize in the next three.

And you will Prove that you are Not Ready.

And you have to Listen to Yourself when you see the Evidence that you are not ready.

Or You Know You Are Not Ready.

I Promise You... you are Not Ready for Real Money.

You are Not Even Ready to try to get a Challenge Passed with the Funded Account.

You Are Not Ready.

You need to be Bored.

"Yeah, it is going to do this... unexpected... it is going to do that... Boom, there it is."

And you are able to do that Consistently... 70% of the Time.

Consistently able to do that in Paper and Demo.

Then... Then... Then...

It is a time to Start Considering.